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Key Words: The next financial crisis ‘will be more difficult to handle,’ says billionaire investor Dalio

‘I feel it will be extra serious in terms of the social, political problems. And I feel it will be harder to handle ... It gained’t be the same within the terms of the big-bang debt crisis. It’ll be a slower growing, extra constricting sort of debt crisis that I feel can have bigger social implications and larger international implications.’
Ray Dalio, founder and co-CIO, Bridgewater Associates

That’s billionaire Ray Dalio, the founder of the sector’s greatest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, expounding on what the following monetary crisis, which he sees as inevitable, will appear to be.

See: Here’s what J.P. Morgan says may just reason the following monetary crisis

In an interview with CNBC, Dalio said he believes the present economic cycle is within the 7th inning, which he extrapolated to imply it most definitely has some other two years or so to run.

It’s now time, on the other hand, to start desirous about what the following downturn might be like, he said. To that impact, Dalio on Monday printed a e book, “A Template for Understanding Debt Crises,” that’s to be had as a free PDF.

Opinion: Ray Dalio’s new tricks to live on the following marketplace meltdown are grounded in those profession secrets and techniques

In the interview, Dalio likened the present surroundings to 1935-1940, whilst the 2008-2009 crisis duration echoed the beginning of the Great Depression in 1929-1932. Like the beginning of the Depression, the monetary crisis left financial policy makers no choice however to print cash and buy monetary assets, pushing the costs of the ones assets up and exacerbating the wealth hole.

That’s helped stoke the populist sentiment around the world, which has implications for any fiscal policy reaction to future crises, whilst quantitative easing and ultralow charges have already been in large part maximized. That underscores the will for the formula of a financial policy that’s geared toward getting individuals to purchase assets.

Meanwhile, buyers must be on their feet, he said.

“I’d be extra defensive slightly than extra aggressive,” Dalio said, warning that chance will building up over the following two years as a result of much of the money that had been resting on the sidelines has been deployed and some great benefits of the corporate tax cuts signed into legislation past due ultimate year are already factored in.

In January, Dalio had warned buyers that “if you’re protecting cash, you’re going to feel pretty stupid.” Stocks unraveled in past due January and early February, with the S&P 500 SPX, +zero.47%  and Dow industrials DJIA, +zero.55%  falling into correction territory. The S&P 500 moved back into file territory ultimate month, whilst the Dow remains not some distance off its all-time high from past due January.

Dalio subsequently said the selloff confirmed that the cycle was a little bit forward of the place he thought it was.

William Watts is MarketWatch's deputy markets editor, based in New York. Follow him on Twitter @wlwatts.

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